EXPERIMENT - Tracking Top 10 Cryptos of 2018 - Month 33 - Down -76%submitted by Joe-M-4 to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]
See the full blog post with all the tables here.
Month Thirty Three – Down 76%2018 Top Ten Summary for September
After a rough start to September, crypto spent the month trying in vain to claw back ground. While a few coins rebounded quite a bit from the monthly lows, most ended up finishing the month significantly down. Out of the 2018 Top Ten group, Bitcoin lost the least, down -8% in September. NEM followed it’s winning August (yes, you read that right) with the poorest performance, down -26%.
Question of the month:
Which cryptocurrency exchange won approval to create America’s first crypto bank in September?A) Binance B) Binance.us C) Kraken D) Coinbase
Scroll down for the answer.
Ranking and September Winners and LosersRank of 2018 Portfolio - 50% no longer in Top Ten
A lot of shuffling in September. On the upside, Bitcoin Cash and Cardano gained one place each landing at #5 and #10 respectively. Cardano gets special mention for re-entering the Top Ten.
Heading the wrong direction were IOTA, NEM, Dash, and Stellar each falling two or three spots.
The big story though, for long time crypto watchers, was the ejection of Litecoin from the Top Ten, down five places from #7 to #12 in just one month. For some context, Litecoin’s absence from the Top Ten is a Top Ten Experiment first. It is also the first time since CoinMarketCap has tracked crypto rankings that Litecoin has not been in the Top Ten.
Drop outs: After thirty-three months of this experiment 50% of the cryptos that started 2018 in the Top Ten have dropped out. NEM, Litecoin, Dash, IOTA, and Stellar have been replaced by Binance Coin, Tether, BSV, LINK, and most recently, DOT.
September Winners – Although it lost -8% of its value, this month’s W goes to Bitcoin. ADA gets second place, down -15% and climbing back into the Top Ten.
September Losers – As most probably expected after an extremely out of character victory last month, NEM came back down to earth in September, bigly, down -26%. Litecoin finished right behind, down -24% and dropping out of the Top Ten.
For the overly competitive, below is a tally of the winners of the first 33 months of the 2018 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiment. Bitcoin still has the most monthly wins (8) and Cardano in second place with 6 monthly wins. With its poor September performance, NEM now has 7 monthly losses.
Ws and Ls - One clear winner
Every crypto has at least one monthly win and Bitcoin is unique as the only cryptocurrency that hasn’t lost a month yet since January 2018.
Overall update – BTC solidly in the lead, followed by ETH. Dash in the basement, LTC drops out of the Top Ten.Even though BTC took a bit of a detour on its way back to break-even point, it is still far ahead of the field, down -17% since January 2018. The initial investment of $100 thirty-three months ago is now worth about $83. Second place Ethereum is down -49% over the same time period.
At this point in the 2018 Top Ten Experiment, Dash is at the bottom. It is currently worth $70.49, down from a January 1st, 2018 starting price of over $1,000. That’s a loss of -93%. The initial $100 invested in Dash 33 months ago is now worth $6.77.
The big story this month is LTC’s departure from the Top Ten, the first time since I started the experiment back in January 2018. Whether or not it will eventually fend off the new generation of coins remains to be seen, but it certainly is noteworthy to have one of the most well known and long standing cryptos drop out of the Top Ten. Consider pouring one out for Litecoin.
Total Market Cap for the entire cryptocurrency sector:The crypto market lost over $35B in September and is down -39% since January 2018. The value of the overall crypto market is near where it was in August of this year, just a few months back. As painful as the beginning of the month was, looking at a table like this helps with perspective, especially if you’re panic prone.
Bitcoin dominance:After steadily dipping for months, BitDom increased a bit in September, up to 57.5%.
For some context: since the beginning of the experiment, the range of Bitcoin dominance has been quite wide: we saw a high of 70% BitDom in September 2019 and a low of 33% BitDom in February 2018.
Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2018:The 2018 Top Ten Portfolio lost -$50 this month. If I cashed out today, the $1000 initial investment would return about $238, down -76% from January 2018.
September broke an encouraging upward trend, but at least the portfolio is taking a break from the -80% range. Here’s a look at the ROI over the life of the experiment, month by month, for some context:
33 Monthly ROIs on Top Ten since Jan 2018
The absolute bottom was -88% back in January 2019.
So the Top Ten Cryptos of 2018 are down -76%. What about the 2019 and 2020 Top Tens? Let’s take a look:
After a $3000 investment in the 2018, 2019, and 2020 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, my combined portfolios are worth $3,340 ($238+ $1,538 +$1,564).
That’s up about +11% for the three combined portfolios, compared to +31% last month.
Here’s a table to help visualize:
Combined ROI on $3k over 3 years - UP +11%
That’s a +11% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st for three straight years.
But surely you’d do better if you went all in on one crypto, right?
Depends on your choice. Let’s take a look:
ETH for the win
Only five cryptos have started in the Top Ten for all three years: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, and LTC (unless Litecoin can make a comeback by the 1st of Jan. 2021, it’s not going to make the four year club!). Knowing what we know now, which one would have been best to go all in on?
Ethereum, by a pretty good margin: the initial $3k would be up +104%, worth $6,118 today. The worst choice of a basket to put all your eggs in at this point in the experiment is XRP, down by almost one third.
Comparison to S&P 500:I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of the experiment to have a comparison point with other popular investments options. The S&P 500 Index fell from an all time high in August, but is currently up +26% since January 2018.
S&P since Jan. 2018
The initial $1k investment into crypto on January 1st, 2018 would have been worth about $1260 had it been redirected to the S&P.
But what if I took the same invest-$1,000-on-January-1st-of-each-year approach with the S&P 500 that I’ve been documenting through the Top Ten Crypto Experiments? Here are the numbers:
After three $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, and 2020, my portfolio would be worth $3,660.
That is up +22% since January 2018, compared to a +11% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios.
That’s an 11% swing in favor of the S&P 500 and breaks a two month mini-streak of wins from the Top Ten crypto portfolios.
S&P vs. Top Ten Crypto Experiments
That’s seven monthly victories for the S&P vs. two monthly victories for crypto. The largest gap so far was a 22% difference in favor of the S&P in June.
Conclusion:September was a tough month for both traditional and crypto markets. What’s next for the rest of 2020? More volatility is no doubt to come as we enter the last quarter of a truly unpredictable and exhausting year. Buckle up.
Thanks for reading and for supporting the experiment. I hope you’ve found it helpful. I continue to be committed to seeing this process through and reporting along the way. Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for progress reports. Keep an eye out for my parallel projects where I repeat the experiment twice, purchasing another $1000 ($100 each) of two new sets of Top Ten cryptos as of January 1st, 2019 then again on January 1st, 2020.
And the Answer is…C) Kraken
According to an official announcement in September, Kraken is “the first digital asset company in U.S. history to receive a bank charter recognized under federal and state law.”
There are two basic building blocks in DeFi/OpFi though: 1) stablecoins as you need a non-volatile currency to get access to this market and 2) a dex to be able to trade all these financial assets. The rest are built on top of these blocks.
So far, together with our partners and community, we have worked on developing these building blocks with XSGD as a stablecoin. We are working on bringing a USD-backed stablecoin as well. We will soon have a decentralised exchange developed by Switcheo. And with HGX going live, we are also venturing into the tokenization space. More to come in the future.”
|BlockFi||50%||2 resolved, 2 not resolved|
|CDC||58%||29 resolved, 21 not resolved|
|Celsius||61%||23 resolved, 15 not resolved|
|Nexo||67%||8 resolved, 4 not resolved|
|BlockFi||50%||2 resolved, 2 not resolved|
|CDC||58%||29 resolved, 21 not resolved|
|Celsius||61%||23 resolved, 15 not resolved|
|Nexo||67%||8 resolved, 4 not resolved|
"The guy is straight out lying. There is guaranteed no missing tx as the data was collected directly from the source." (source)
"I also had these data points and went through them to remove non-retail transactions, on both TravelbyBit and HULA." (source)He admits to have removed non-BCH tx by "Game Ranger" because he considers them non-retail (source). He also implies they might be involved in money laundering and that TBB might fail their AML obligations in processing Game Ranger's transactions (source).
"The website only shows transactions from the last 7 days and then they disappear. No way for anyone to access stats beyond that." (source)he felt confident to claim that I would be
unable to provide a source for the [missing] data and/or prove that that data was not already included in the report. (source)Luckily for us Hayden Otto seems to dislike his competitor TravelByBit so much that he attempted to reframe Bitcoin's RBF feature as a vulnerability specific to TBB PoS system (source).
"You can literally access it from a public URL in the Web browser. There is no login or anything required, just type in the name of the merchant." (source)As of yet it is unclear if this is intentional by TBB or if Hayden Ottos followed the rules of responsible disclosure before publishing this kind of data leak.
|TBB wo. Game Ranger||$5,407|
|TBB according to Hayden||$3,737|
|1||17 Sep 19 09:28||LTD Espresso||Lightning||Unable to find merchant history.||4.50||4.50|
|2||17 Sep 19 09:40||LTD Espresso||Binance Coin||Unable to find merchant history.||4.50||9.00|
|3||17 Sep 19 13:22||Josh's IGA Murray Bridge West||Ether||0x40fd53aa...b6de43c531||4.60||13.60|
|4||17 Sep 19 13:23||Nom Nom Korean Eatery||Lightning||lnbc107727...zkcqvvgklf||16.00||29.60|
|5||17 Sep 19 13:24||Nom Nom Korean Eatery||Lightning||lnbc100994...mkspwddgqw||15.00||44.60|
|6||17 Sep 19 14:02||Nom Nom Korean Eatery||Binance Coin||bnb1w5mwu9...552thl4ru5||30.00||74.60|
|7||17 Sep 19 15:19||Dollars and Sense (Fortitude Valley)||Lightning||lnbc134780...93cpanyxfg||2.00||76.60|
|8||17 Sep 19 15:34||Steph's Cafe||Binance Coin||bnb124hcjy...ss3pz9y3r8||57.50||134.10|
|9||17 Sep 19 19:37||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb13f58s9...qqc7fxln7s||18.00||152.10|
|10||17 Sep 19 19:59||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc575880...48cpl0z06q||8.50||160.60|
|11||17 Sep 19 20:00||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc575770...t8spzjflym||8.50||169.10|
|12||17 Sep 19 20:13||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc202980...lgqp5ha8f4||3.00||172.10|
|13||17 Sep 19 20:21||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc577010...decq7r4p05||8.50||180.60|
|14||17 Sep 19 20:24||Fat Dumpling||Lightning||lnbc217145...9dsqpjjr6g||32.10||212.70|
|15||17 Sep 19 20:31||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc574530...wvcpp3pcen||8.50||221.20|
|16||17 Sep 19 20:33||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc540660...rpqpzgk8z0||8.00||229.20|
|17||17 Sep 19 20:37||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc128468...r8cqq50p5c||19.00||248.20|
|18||17 Sep 19 20:39||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc135220...cngp2zq6q4||2.00||250.20|
|19||17 Sep 19 20:45||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc574570...atcqg738p8||8.50||258.70|
|20||17 Sep 19 20:51||Fat Dumpling||Lightning||lnbc414190...8hcpg79h9a||61.20||319.90|
|21||17 Sep 19 20:53||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc135350...krqqp3cz8z||2.00||321.90|
|22||17 Sep 19 20:58||The Stand Desserts||Bitcoin||17MrHiRcKz...ZxydX8raU9||28.00||349.90|
|23||17 Sep 19 21:02||The Stand Desserts||Bitcoin||1Hwy8hCBff...iEh5fBsCWK||10.00||359.90|
|24||17 Sep 19 21:03||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc743810...dvqqnuunjq||11.00||370.90|
|25||17 Sep 19 21:04||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc114952...2vqpclm87p||17.00||387.90|
|26||17 Sep 19 21:10||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc169160...lpqqqt574c||2.50||390.40|
|27||17 Sep 19 21:11||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc575150...40qq9yuqmy||8.50||398.90|
|28||17 Sep 19 21:13||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc947370...qjcp3unr33||14.00||412.90|
|29||17 Sep 19 21:15||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb1tc2vva...xppes5t7d0||16.00||428.90|
|30||17 Sep 19 21:16||Giardinetto||Binance Coin||bnb1auyep2...w64p6a6dlk||350.00||778.90|
|31||17 Sep 19 21:25||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3H2iJaKNXH...5sxPk3t2tV||7.00||785.90|
|32||17 Sep 19 21:39||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb17r7x3e...avaxwumc58||8.00||793.90|
|33||17 Sep 19 21:47||The Stand Desserts||BCH||32kuPYT1tc...uFQwgsA5ku||18.00||811.90|
|34||17 Sep 19 21:52||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3ELPvxtCSy...4QzvfVJsNZ||36.00||847.90|
|35||17 Sep 19 21:56||The Stand Desserts||Lightning||lnbc677740...acsp04sjeg||10.00||857.90|
|36||17 Sep 19 22:04||The Stand Desserts||BCH||38b4wHg9cg...9L2WXC2BSK||54.00||911.90|
|37||17 Sep 19 22:16||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb14lylhs...x6wz7kjzp5||18.00||929.90|
|38||17 Sep 19 22:21||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3L8SK3Hr7u...F3htdSPxfL||90.00||1019.90|
|39||17 Sep 19 22:30||The Stand Desserts||Binance Coin||bnb19w6tle...774uknv57t||5.00||1024.90|
|40||17 Sep 19 22:48||The Stand Desserts||BCH||3Qag8c4UYg...9EYuWzGjhs||8.00||1032.90|
I woud like here to point how BINANCE scammed me 1516 USD with some bullshit and unethical requests.submitted by churgercold to binance [link] [comments]
On 2019-12-20 I registered a binance account. I choosed to not verify my account as the limits of 2 BTC were more than enough for me!
I deposited same day 0.21 BTC and sold it for USDT.
Since I didn't use my account. On March 30 I logged in from a new computer. The system sent me an email to authorize the new device. This was done successfully.
Later I tried to withdraw around 700 USD worth of BTC. The request was cancelled an the sytem asked me to verify my identiy. What???? What's the purpose of using unverified account????? So whenever I change my machine and login, I will have to submit my documents??
Meanwhile I had some discussion with live support, who tried to help. Finally, I have been told that I have no other choice than doing the full verification. I decided then to do the verification which was done finally successfully.
You can see here:
I spoke again with the support, they told me that I can try again, now that I'm fully verified, I can withdraw my funds.
So I tried again to withdraw some BTC, first the status for "Waiting for approval" then later it changed "Rejected" with the info "Withdraw rejected. Risk control". What???
I contacted again the support and I have been told that I will receive an email from Binance within few hours.
Almost 20hrs passed, nothing from Binance. So I opened a Ticket.
u/ilir_binance 2821529 # is Ticket number for reference! Ticket was opened on 03/31/2020 (12 days ago by the time of writing this post).
Next day I received an answer from Binance support. And look what these people are asking me:
Dear user,So far this is not a problem to provide. I already provided this.
Furthermore, they asked me to record a video :
A video of the first deposit you made to your Binance account. The video would contain the login process (do NOT show password) of the platform/wallet where you made this transaction to your Binance account, find the transaction and show us the full TxID, date and amount information.Seriously?????? These were parts of my answer to them, same day:
So they basically are asking me things that they know I can't provide and so would get a way to keep my money.
I asked them if it will be enough to provide anything else and close this case.
I will request then to withdraw all my coins and after that I will request you to close my account.
Since there have been no answer from their support! I sent few email to remind them, there was simply no answer!
So this was my last email to them, 5 days ago:
Still today, I didn't get any answer.
I want to let everyone know about this. If this company is not a scam, I'm asking them to let me withdraw my money simply.
Bitcoin BinanceExchange CryptoCurrency CryptoCurrencyTrading CryptoScam CryptoScamAlert CryptoScamsVictims
The DeFi ecosystem has already recreated traditional financial instruments in a new ‘unchained’ decentralized structure. This year, a huge number of DeFi-related projects gained the attention of crypto enthusiasts. The leaders of the race are Maker, Compound, Aave, Curve, Synthetix and QDAO DeFi. These projects provide a significant number of opportunities to earn money. So let’s find out what the DeFi market mood is right now and how you can increase your holdings in 2020.submitted by QDAODeFi to u/QDAODeFi [link] [comments]
DeFi market 2020According to data provider DeFiPulse, the total value locked in USD right now is $6.7 billion. And it is best to check the data regularly because it is growing rapidly.
For instance, the value was $4.21 billion at the beginning of August 2020. It rose by one third in just 3 weeks.
Taha Zafar, a crypto analyst, shared data that illustrates how DeFi tokens performed within the past 90 days. As you see, they are doing even better than Bitcoin.
So while the market is soaring, there are already a number of DeFi leaders that stand out among others.
However, 2020 introduced some new figures on this chessboard. Compound competes with Maker in the lending sector and is not yielding its position. At the moment, the Compound credit portfolio is $820 million, when at the beginning of the year, it was $100 million.
With Aave, Curve and Synthetix breaking into the top 10 most successful projects in DeFiPulse and QDAO DeFi being the most promising one, the DeFi market is emerging as a real alternative to the traditional finance sector.
Recently, the DeFi Overview Twitter account posted an illustrative map that demonstrates how fast all the main market players are growing: https://twitter.com/DefiOverview/status/1297829568271642624
While Binance has already listed some DeFi projects like Compound, Synthetix, YFI and Curve, the u/top7ico posted a forecast list of other promising DeFi projects. https://twitter.com/top7ico/status/1297540483913093120
What DeFi projects are aiming to get in TOPsDeFiPulse is the world’s leading resource for providing its audience with fresh-from-the-oven, comprehensive information concerning DeFi. Here you can find all the latest analytics and rankings for DeFi protocols. Moreover, this resource provides you with a list of the best resources on the topic.
The information is being refreshed every hour. The Total Value Locked is calculated by multiplying the total balance of Ether (ETH) and ERC-20 tokens by their price in USD.
To sum up, it is the most interactive platform that maintains the upper hand and provides you with the freshest information about the DeFi market.
Besides, DeFi Pulse has a handy calculator that shows how much money you can earn by locking specific assets.
The calculator also shows how much you can get in Compound, dYdX and Maker.
The platform offers a full range of services just like any usual bank:
QDAO DeFi offers 17 currencies and the interface is user-friendly and convenient.
You can open a Secure Personal QDAO DeFi Account and start earning passive income from the very first day. The interest is paid out daily with no fees.
Users can withdraw funds after they reach the minimum withdrawal amount in a specific cryptocurrency.
You can open a deposit in just a few minutes, click the link to find out how.
What’s next for DeFi projects?Earning on DeFi platforms is easy and convenient. The major players offer a great variety of services to help you find the best way to trade, mint and stake.
Billionaire Bitcoin bull, Tim Draper says, “The DeFi world is almost as technologically advanced as the dollar and when it is, there will be no one who will want to accept a politically manipulable currency like dollars anymore.”
Will DeFi fully replace all the traditional financial instruments? Opinions are divided. However, it can become the basis of a new digital banking system and return the trust to the financial system.
Want to be the first to hear QDAO DeFi news and updates? Visit our website and stay in touch with us on social media: Twitter, Facebook, Telegram and LINE (for the Japanese-speaking community).
(1) Proper multi-signature cold wallet storage.
(a) Each private key is the personal and legal responsibility of one person - the “signatory”. Signatories have special rights and responsibilities to protect user assets. Signatories are trained and certified through a course covering (1) past hacking and fraud cases, (2) proper and secure key generation, and (3) proper safekeeping of private keys. All private keys must be generated and stored 100% offline by the signatory. If even one private keys is ever breached or suspected to be breached, the wallet must be regenerated and all funds relocated to a new wallet.
(b) All signatories must be separate background-checked individuals free of past criminal conviction. Canadians should have a right to know who holds their funds. All signing of transactions must take place with all signatories on Canadian soil or on the soil of a country with a solid legal system which agrees to uphold and support these rules (from an established white-list of countries which expands over time).
(c) 3-5 independent signatures are required for any withdrawal. There must be 1-3 spare signatories, and a maximum of 7 total signatories. The following are all valid combinations: 3of4, 3of5, 3of6, 4of5, 4of6, 4of7, 5of6, or 5of7.
(d) A security audit should be conducted to validate the cold wallet is set up correctly and provide any additional pertinent information. The primary purpose is to ensure that all signatories are acting independently and using best practices for private key storage. A report summarizing all steps taken and who did the audit will be made public. Canadians must be able to validate the right measures are in place to protect their funds.
(e) There is a simple approval process if signatories wish to visit any country outside Canada, with a potential whitelist of exempt countries. At most 2 signatories can be outside of aligned jurisdiction at any given time. All exchanges would be required to keep a compliant cold wallet for Canadian funds and have a Canadian office if they wish to serve Canadian customers.
(2) Regular and transparent solvency audits.
(a) An audit must be conducted at founding, after 3 months of operation, and at least once every 6 months to compare customer balances against all stored cryptocurrency and fiat balances. The auditor must be known, independent, and never the same twice in a row.
(b) An audit report will be published featuring the steps conducted in a readable format. This should be made available to all Canadians on the exchange website and on a government website. The report must include what percentage of each customer asset is backed on the exchange, and how those funds are stored.
(c) The auditor will independently produce a hash of each customer's identifying information and balance as they perform the audit. This will be made publicly available on the exchange and government website, along with simplified instructions that each customer can use to verify that their balance was included in the audit process.
(d) The audit needs to include a proof of ownership for any cryptocurrency wallets included. A satoshi test (spending a small amount) or partially signed transaction both qualify.
(e) Any platform without 100% reserves should be assessed on a regular basis by a government or industry watchdog. This entity should work to prevent any further drop, support any private investor to come in, or facilitate a merger so that 100% backing can be obtained as soon as possible.
(3) Protections for hot wallets and transactions.
(a) A standardized list of approved coins and procedures will be established to constitute valid cold storage wallets. Where a multi-sig process is not natively available, efforts will be undertaken to establish a suitable and stable smart contract standard. This list will be expanded and improved over time. Coins and procedures not on the list are considered hot wallets.
(b) Hot wallets can be backed by additional funds in cold storage or an acceptable third-party insurance provider with a comprehensive coverage policy.
(c) Exchanges are required to cover the full balance of all user funds as denominated in the same currency, or double the balance as denominated in bitcoin or CAD using an established trading rate. If the balance is ever insufficient due to market movements, the firm must rectify this within 24 hours by moving assets to cold storage or increasing insurance coverage.
(d) Any large transactions (above a set threshold) from cold storage to any new wallet addresses (not previously transacted with) must be tested with a smaller transaction first. Deposits of cryptocurrency must be limited to prevent economic 51% attacks. Any issues are to be covered by the exchange.
(e) Exchange platforms must provide suitable authentication for users, including making available approved forms of two-factor authentication. SMS-based authentication is not to be supported. Withdrawals must be blocked for 48 hours in the event of any account password change. Disputes on the negligence of exchanges should be governed by case law.
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